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Robert Thomas GroupOttawa Advisory Firm

Insights

Rolling Forecast

A rolling forecast keeps planning tied to current reality. It updates the forward view regularly so leadership is not making decisions from assumptions set months earlier.

What It Is

A Forward-Looking Management Tool

A budget is a starting point. A rolling forecast is the current management view. It is updated regularly as labor, revenue, backlog, pipeline, pricing, or cost assumptions change.

The goal is not prediction for its own sake. The goal is to make the next decision with current information.

  • Improves cash visibility before pressure shows up in the bank account
  • Supports hiring and capacity decisions with a current forward view
  • Makes monthly review more useful because it points to what is likely next

Example

Illustrative Rolling Forecast

Example rolling forecast

Illustrative monthly view used for current planning and cash visibility.

Rolling Forecast
Line itemAprilMayJuneJuly
Revenue$420K$445K$468K$490K
Labor$198K$206K$217K$226K
Overhead$109K$111K$112K$114K
Ending cash$312K$326K$341K$358K

The point is not a perfect prediction. The point is a current view of what is likely to happen if the business continues on its present path.

Why It Matters

Questions It Should Help Answer

  • What is likely to happen to cash if the current trend continues?
  • Can the business support the planned hiring or expansion?
  • Where are margin or revenue assumptions drifting away from plan?
  • Which decisions need to be made now rather than after month-end close?

In Practice

What Makes It Useful

Regular updates

The model has to move with current backlog, pipeline, labor, and cash reality.

Simple drivers

It should use the few assumptions that actually move results, not a model so complex nobody updates it.

Decision rhythm

The forecast matters because it is reviewed and used, not because it exists in a spreadsheet.

Next Step

If Cash and Capacity Still Surprise You